39
Essays on Infinite Lifespans
Aubrey de Grey
risk. Sometimes only a small risk, but even that may, at that
time, be greater than our risk of dying of old age; and there-
fore become something we take much more seriously than
we do today. Further, some such risks notably, exposure to
new infectious diseases seem likely to yield non-uniformly
and unpredictably, if at all, to the increased expenditure that
will surely be marshaled against them. [20] Thus, our con-
tinuing and ever-improving success in avoiding physical or
mental frailty will be at the increasingly unsatisfactory price of
eschewing fulfilling activities that just might kill us.
For this reason, I expect that in centuries to come we will work
to develop what might be termed non-invasive static upload-
ing or, more prosaically, backing-up of our cognitive state.
At this point it is plausible, though obviously not known, that
all the moderately persistent components of that state (that
is, everything except short-term memory) are encapsulated in
the network of synaptic connections between our neurons.
The strength of those connections probably matters too, but
maybe not to all that much precision. It is also plausible that,
a century or three from now, an extremely high-resolution
version of magnetic resonance imaging may exist that can
scan a living persons brain and detect all such information.
This amount of data could easily be stored electronically by
then, as it exceeds by only 35 orders of magnitude the stor-
age capacity of todays personal computers. Further, cells in
culture will by then be amenable not only to differentiation
along desired lineages but to stimulation to form synaptic
connections with particular other cells to which their axons
are juxtaposed. This means that, in principle, a copy of a
living persons brain all trillion cells of it could be con-
structed from scratch, purely by in vitro micromanipulation
of neurons into a synaptic network previously scanned from
that brain. (Doing this in less than geological time would be
possible because it could be highly parallelized. Since most